Lion City Sailors FC 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
9.57
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
54%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.94
Over 2.5
57%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.98
2-3 Goals
40%
2.43
4-5 Goals
27%
2.24
6+ Goals
13%
3.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
22.1
1/2
16%
18.25
1/X
9%
31.0
X/1
6%
28.5
X/2
15%
4.07
X/X
9%
13.35
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.27
2/X
4%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
8%
+16.5pp
22%
Draw
11%
+10.3pp
54%
Away Win
81%
-26.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
22%
+21.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
78%
-21.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lion City Sailors FC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -25%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lion City Sailors FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 4
251 Passes 717
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
6 Box Touches 36
3 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 0
05.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-3 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lion City Sailors FC
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.29 xG 1.69
26% Ball Possession 74%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
125 Passes 456
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 48
7 Crosses 64
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lion City Sailors FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lion City Sailors FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lion City Sailors FC had 26% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 74%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.29 to 1.69.

What was the final score of Lion City Sailors FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Lion City Sailors FC 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the AFCŞL2 on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lion City Sailors FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lion City Sailors FC 25%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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