Al Sharjah 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 12 Mar 2025

Al Sharjah
1-1 HT 1-0
Shabab Al Ahli
📅12/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.67
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
3%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.58
X/2
15%
5.97
X/X
21%
4.26
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
18%
4.08
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Sharjah v Shabab Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 37%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+82% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
162 Passes 371
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2025 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah AFCŞL2
03.04.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-4 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
29.12.2023 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 6-2 HT 3-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAESK
16.01.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
14.09.2019 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAESK
12.11.2014 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK

Al Sharjah 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-1
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.44 xG 2.43
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
219 Passes 531
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah and Shabab Al Ahli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 32% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 68%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.44 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Sharjah and 2.00 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Sharjah 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFCŞL2 on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 33%, draw 30%, Shabab Al Ahli 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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