Cruz Azul 4-1 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.66/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.24
-52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.1 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.22 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
513 Passes 395
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2025 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
4-1
AWAY Seattle Sounders
3.28 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
411 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul ran out comfortable winners over Seattle Sounders 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 59% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 41%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 3.28 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Seattle Sounders?

Cruz Azul 4-1 Seattle Sounders in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 50%, draw 28%, Seattle Sounders 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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