Tigres UANL 3-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
13%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.14/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
463 Passes 401
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
05.03.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
3-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
606 Passes 265
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL beat FC Cincinnati 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 67% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 33%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs FC Cincinnati?

Tigres UANL 3-1 FC Cincinnati in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 52%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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