Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.59
Over 2.5
29%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.95
No
66%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
59%
+11.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
41%
-11.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
47%
-12.8pp
66%
BTTS No
53%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.66
+95% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.01.2025 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 2-2 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0-1
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema nicked a narrow win over Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Mekelle Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 53% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 47%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 37%, draw 31%, Mekelle Kenema 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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