Akron 2-3 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
1.99
No
68%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-10.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+16.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-16.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
46%
-13.7pp
68%
BTTS No
54%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 75%
+79% / +79% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -79% / -79%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+120% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -70%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.65 xG 3.28
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
152 Passes 617
63% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS
19.04.2023 Akron Akron 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
2-3
AWAY Spartak Moskova
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Akron vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova edged past Akron 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Akron had 56% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akron and 2.50 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Akron vs Spartak Moskova?

Akron 2-3 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Super Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Akron 17%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskova 59%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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