Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Boca Juniors 1-1 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (70%) came in, no to both teams scoring (63%) didn't.
Under the surface, Boca Juniors had 70% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 30%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.10 to 0.82.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.50 for San Lorenzo.
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Result & Final Score
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 54%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.