Mictlan 2-0 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mictlan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.50
+28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mictlan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Aurora
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
23.11.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 4-0 HT 2-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
22.10.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-2 HT 1-1 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mictlan
2-0
AWAY Aurora
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mictlan vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mictlan got the better of Aurora 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mictlan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mictlan had 55% of the ball to Aurora's 45%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mictlan and 1.50 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Mictlan vs Aurora?

Mictlan 2-0 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mictlan vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mictlan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mictlan 50%, draw 26%, Aurora 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mictlan), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mictlan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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