Mictlan 4-0 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mictlan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.50/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.99
+19% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mictlan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aurora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.10.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-2 HT 1-1 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mictlan
4-0
AWAY Aurora
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mictlan vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mictlan cruised past Aurora 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mictlan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mictlan had 48% of the ball to Aurora's 52%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Mictlan vs Aurora?

Mictlan 4-0 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mictlan vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mictlan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mictlan 44%, draw 26%, Aurora 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mictlan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mictlan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
23 Nov 2025
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