Municipal 2-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.71
Over 2.5
61%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.96
No
41%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
55%
-15.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
45%
+15.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.8pp
41%
BTTS No
53%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +31%
1.87/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.40
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
18.09.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
16.05.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
30.01.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
01.12.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
2-1
AWAY Antigua GFC
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal squeezed past Antigua GFC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Municipal had 58% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 1.50 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 2-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Municipal 57%, draw 22%, Antigua GFC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
23 Nov 2025
01:00 Mictlan vs Aurora Analysis →