Municipal 1-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.68
Over 2.5
33%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.1pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.05.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
30.01.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
01.12.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.11.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.09.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-2
AWAY Antigua GFC
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Municipal 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 23%) promised a tight game; Antigua GFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal had 44% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 56%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 1.17 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 1-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Municipal 40%, draw 36%, Antigua GFC 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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