Municipal 2-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.99/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.78
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.09.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
31.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
17.09.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
2-2
AWAY Antigua GFC
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal and Antigua GFC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Municipal at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Municipal had 52% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 48%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal and 0.67 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 2-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Municipal 55%, draw 22%, Antigua GFC 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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