Municipal 2-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.92/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.55
+22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
31.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
17.09.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
15.05.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
12.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
2-1
AWAY Antigua GFC
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal nicked a narrow win over Antigua GFC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal had 41% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 59%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 2-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Municipal 54%, draw 25%, Antigua GFC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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