Municipal 1-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.99/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.79
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.01.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
01.12.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.11.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.09.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
31.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-2
AWAY Antigua GFC
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Municipal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Municipal had 56% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 44%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal and 1.17 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 1-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Municipal 49%, draw 24%, Antigua GFC 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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