Achuapa 1-1 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.58/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.95
-15% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
414 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-1 HT 1-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.09.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
28.03.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
03.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-2 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-1
AWAY Xinabajul
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa and Xinabajul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Achuapa had 53% of the ball to Xinabajul's 47%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Achuapa and 1.17 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Xinabajul?

Achuapa 1-1 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 50%, draw 25%, Xinabajul 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Achuapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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