Xinabajul 2-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 31 Jan 2025

Xinabajul
2-1 HT 1-1
Achuapa
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Xinabajul vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xinabajul v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.68/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Xinabajul vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Achuapa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
28.03.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
03.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-2 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
16.10.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 0-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul nicked a narrow win over Achuapa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Xinabajul and 2.00 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Achuapa?

Xinabajul 2-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 56%, draw 24%, Achuapa 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
31 Jan 2025
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