Antigua GFC 2-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.13
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Municipal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.11.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.09.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
31.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
17.09.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
2-1
AWAY Municipal
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC edged past Municipal 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 61% of the ball to Municipal's 39%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.50 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Antigua GFC 2-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 43%, draw 26%, Municipal 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC)
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