Malacateco 2-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.07/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.96
-25% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +49%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
18.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
18.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.01.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
04.09.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
29.07.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 2-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
2-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Xelaju MC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malacateco had 60% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 40%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malacateco and 0.50 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?

Malacateco 2-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 45%, draw 26%, Xelaju MC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
30 Jan 2025
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