Warrington Town 1-2 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.8
Over
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No Pick
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.98
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.61
6+
8%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.55/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.70
-43% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
24.02.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
02.09.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-2
AWAY Brackley Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town edged past Warrington Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warrington Town had 44% of the ball to Brackley Town's 56%, shots finished 6-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Warrington Town and 1.33 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Brackley Town?

Warrington Town 1-2 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 23%, draw 24%, Brackley Town 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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