Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 19%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.84/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.70
+0% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
04.01.2025 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
27.01.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
12.08.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels edged past Weston-super-Mare 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.00 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 46%, draw 26%, Tonbridge Angels 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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