Scunthorpe United 2-0 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.86/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.88
+5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
26.03.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
24.10.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 6-0 HT 3-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
2-0
AWAY Spennymoor Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United got the better of Spennymoor Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 56% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 44%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.33 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Spennymoor Town?

Scunthorpe United 2-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 46%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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