Boreham Wood 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 30% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-16.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.00/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.78
+9% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
208 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 3-4 HT 1-3 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
3-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood cruised past Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 59% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Boreham Wood 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 49%, draw 26%, Hemel Hempstead Town 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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