Worthing 4-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.38
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.55
6+ Goals
11%
5.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.38 — our 24% vs market 13.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.4pp
28%
Draw
18%
+10.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +11%
2.23/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.69
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
16.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
02.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.02.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.08.2022 Worthing Worthing 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
4-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing ran out comfortable winners over Chippenham Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Worthing had 61% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 39%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Worthing and 1.40 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Chippenham Town?

Worthing 4-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Worthing 52%, draw 28%, Chippenham Town 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Under 2.5
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