Dumbarton 1-3 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
54%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
54%
Away Win
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.45/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.10
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cove Rangers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
22.02.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
02.11.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-3 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
17.08.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
23.04.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
29.01.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
04.12.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers saw off Dumbarton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cove Rangers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dumbarton and 1.83 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers?

Dumbarton 1-3 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 25%, draw 22%, Cove Rangers 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cove Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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