Arbroath 4-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.26
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
22.02.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
02.11.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
03.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
09.03.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
12.01.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
01.12.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 5-2 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath swept aside Stenhousemuir 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arbroath and 1.50 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?

Arbroath 4-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 44%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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