Stenhousemuir 2-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.61
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Arbroath
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
02.11.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
03.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
09.03.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
12.01.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
01.12.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 5-2 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
22.09.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir got the better of Arbroath 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Stenhousemuir made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.17 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?

Stenhousemuir 2-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 34%, draw 26%, Arbroath 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arbroath) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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