Annan Athletic 3-4 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.68/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.32
+12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
101 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 95 · 95%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
02.11.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 5-0 HT 3-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
24.08.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
30.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
13.02.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
03.02.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-3 HT 1-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.09.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic edged past Annan Athletic 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Annan Athletic and 2.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Annan Athletic 3-4 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 34%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5
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