Alloa Athletic 2-1 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.37/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.02.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-3 HT 1-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.09.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
05.05.2012 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
03.03.2012 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK2
14.01.2012 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
29.10.2011 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKK
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Annan Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.17 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

Alloa Athletic 2-1 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 42%, draw 27%, Annan Athletic 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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