Kelty Hearts 3-2 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.32
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.49
6+ Goals
12%
5.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.8pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
512 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Edinburgh City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
03.02.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-3 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
07.10.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-4 HT 0-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.07.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 3-5 HT 3-3 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKLK
22.04.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
04.03.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 0-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
08.10.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts squeezed past Edinburgh City 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.67 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?

Kelty Hearts 3-2 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 65%, draw 19%, Edinburgh City 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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