Cove Rangers 2-1 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
2.08/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.86
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dumbarton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
02.11.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-3 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
17.08.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
23.04.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
29.01.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
04.12.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
21.08.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers edged past Dumbarton 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cove Rangers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cove Rangers and 0.67 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton?

Cove Rangers 2-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 50%, draw 21%, Dumbarton 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cove Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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