Crawley Town 1-3 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

Crawley Town
1-3 HT 0-0
Leyton Orient
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.03
Over
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
3.67
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
21%
3.08
6+
11%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.67 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.66
1/2
6%
24.2
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
9%
6.86
X/2
14%
5.2
X/X
16%
5.09
2/1
11%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.04
2/X
4%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Leyton Orient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.09/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
+26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
12.3 Crosses 12.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.67 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 263
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
18.02.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
06.08.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
30.04.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
11.12.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
05.10.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK

Crawley Town 1-3 Leyton Orient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
1-3
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.42 xG 2.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
321 Passes 179
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient saw off Crawley Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leyton Orient found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 59% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 41%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.42 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Crawley Town and 2.00 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient?

Crawley Town 1-3 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 31%, draw 29%, Leyton Orient 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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