AFC Totton 2-1 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
41%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
AFC Totton win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-7.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
2.56/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/3.14
+13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Tiverton Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
14.12.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
06.04.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 5-0 HT 2-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
09.03.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
2-1
AWAY Tiverton Town
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton edged past Tiverton Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Totton had 68% of the ball to Tiverton Town's 32%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Totton had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for AFC Totton and 0.33 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Tiverton Town?

AFC Totton 2-1 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 62%, draw 18%, Tiverton Town 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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