12/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
21%
Draw
25%
39%
Away Win
41%
42%
Under 2.5
41%
58%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
46%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chertsey Town v Gloucester City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chertsey Town
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gloucester City
EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
1.96/1.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.06/0.89
+36%
/
-16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-29%
/
+63%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
257 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chertsey Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Gloucester City
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chertsey Town edged past Gloucester City 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Chertsey Town made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City?
Chertsey Town 1-0 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 40%, draw 21%, Gloucester City 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chertsey Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chertsey Town)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More England - Non League Premier
12 Apr 2025