Leek Town 1-0 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.29/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.63
-19% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leek Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Workington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.08.2024 Workington Workington 1-1 HT 1-1 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leek Town
1-0
AWAY Workington
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town squeezed past Workington 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Leek Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leek Town had 52% of the ball to Workington's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Workington?

Leek Town 1-0 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 40%, draw 27%, Workington 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leek Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leek Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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