Workington 1-1 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

Workington
1-1 HT 1-1
Leek Town
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Workington vs Leek Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.05
Draw
36%
3.64
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.38
Over 2.5
40%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
25%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
45%
-14.7pp
36%
Draw
24%
+12.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
38%
+22.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
62%
-22.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.8pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Workington v Leek Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
3.10/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+89% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Workington vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington and Leek Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 36% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Workington vs Leek Town?

Workington 1-1 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Workington 30%, draw 36%, Leek Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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