Wimborne Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.16/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.89
-23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wimborne Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.12.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Wimborne Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wimborne Town squeezed past Basingstoke Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Wimborne Town made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Wimborne Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Wimborne Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wimborne Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wimborne Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wimborne Town 37%, draw 27%, Basingstoke Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wimborne Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wimborne Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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