Vanersborgs IF 3-2 Lidköpings FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.66
No
60%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.2pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -22%
1.03/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.78
-43% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lidköpings FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-1 HT 1-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
01.06.2024 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
19.09.2020 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF nicked a narrow win over Lidköpings FK 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Vanersborgs IF made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 0.67 for Lidköpings FK.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK?

Vanersborgs IF 3-2 Lidköpings FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 37%, draw 28%, Lidköpings FK 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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