Hogaborgs BK 1-1 FK Karlskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
35%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
25%
+18.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
52%
-17.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.51/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.59
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
178 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Karlskrona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.10.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
09.06.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-1 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hogaborgs BK
1-1
AWAY FK Karlskrona
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs FK Karlskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK and FK Karlskrona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hogaborgs BK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hogaborgs BK had 43% of the ball to FK Karlskrona's 57%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hogaborgs BK and 2.00 for FK Karlskrona.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs FK Karlskrona?

Hogaborgs BK 1-1 FK Karlskrona in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs FK Karlskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 43%, draw 22%, FK Karlskrona 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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