Hogaborgs BK 2-1 FK Karlskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.53/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.37
-15% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Karlskrona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.06.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-1 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs FK Karlskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK nicked a narrow win over FK Karlskrona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Hogaborgs BK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs FK Karlskrona?

Hogaborgs BK 2-1 FK Karlskrona in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs FK Karlskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 39%, draw 30%, FK Karlskrona 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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