Elfsborg 2-0 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Apr 2025

Elfsborg
2-0 HT 1-0
Norrköping
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Elfsborg vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.21
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.37
X/2
9%
9.55
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1
10%
22.0
2/2
14%
7.34
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.77/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.52
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.8 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Elfsborg vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Norrköping
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 Passes 362
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.09.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
25.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 4-2 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
28.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-2 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
22.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.08.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
29.05.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 2-0 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-0
AWAY Norrköping
1.64 xG 0.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
243 Passes 516
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg beat Norrköping 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 35% of the ball to Norrköping's 65%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.64 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elfsborg and 2.00 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Norrköping?

Elfsborg 2-0 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 46%, draw 25%, Norrköping 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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