Elfsborg 2-2 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Sep 2024

Elfsborg
2-2 HT 1-0
Norrköping
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Elfsborg vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.84
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
5.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.45
X/1
17%
3.61
X/2
7%
19.5
X/X
8%
8.5
2/1
10%
20.9
2/2
5%
14.0
2/X
7%
21.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.20/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.62
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
451 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.8 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Elfsborg vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Norrköping
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.39 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 4-2 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
28.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-2 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
22.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.08.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
29.05.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
31.10.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 3-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 2-2 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-2
AWAY Norrköping
0.74 xG 1.37
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 6
250 Passes 477
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 31
32 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg and Norrköping couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elfsborg at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Elfsborg had 39% of the ball to Norrköping's 61%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.74 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elfsborg and 2.17 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Norrköping?

Elfsborg 2-2 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 62%, draw 22%, Norrköping 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elfsborg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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