Hacken 1-2 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Sep 2024

Hacken
1-2 HT 0-0
Djurgarden
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hacken vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 27% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.87
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
12%
6.69
X/X
14%
5.46
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
14%
4.37
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hacken v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.92/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.13
+63% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.0 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hacken vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Djurgarden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
442 Passes 402
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-3 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
24.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
03.05.2023 Hacken Hacken 4-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
19.03.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-0 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
09.10.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
24.07.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-2 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Hacken 1-2 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
1-2
AWAY Djurgarden
1.58 xG 1.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
556 Passes 278
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden edged past Hacken 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Djurgarden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hacken had 65% of the ball to Djurgarden's 35%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.58 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hacken and 1.17 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Djurgarden?

Hacken 1-2 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hacken 38%, draw 28%, Djurgarden 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hacken), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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