Norrköping 4-2 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.62
1/2
13%
24.45
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
7%
6.65
X/2
11%
4.79
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
13%
2.93
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +24%
1.30/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.99
+40% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
18.9 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-2 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
22.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.08.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
29.05.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
31.10.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 3-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
24.05.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
4-2
AWAY Elfsborg
0.84 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
374 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping saw off Elfsborg 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Norrköping found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Norrköping had 52% of the ball to Elfsborg's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.84 to 1.31 — on chances, Elfsborg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norrköping and 1.83 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Elfsborg?

Norrköping 4-2 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 30%, draw 33%, Elfsborg 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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