Vasteras SK FK 2-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.22
X/2
7%
7.31
X/X
16%
4.27
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
5.87
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 29%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +36%
3.04/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.12
-100% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +72%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
50.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
65.0 Crosses 16.8
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
19.10.2019 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
13.04.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
14.08.2005 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
01.05.2005 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
2-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.55 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
389 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK nicked a narrow win over Mjallby 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasteras SK FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.55 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.80 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby?

Vasteras SK FK 2-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 46%, draw 27%, Mjallby 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
25 Apr 2024
20:00 Halmstad vs Hammarby Analysis →
20:00 Djurgarden vs Malmö FF Analysis →
20:00 Norrköping vs Elfsborg Analysis →
20:00 Kalmar vs GAIS Analysis →