Halmstad 2-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Apr 2024

Halmstad
2-1 HT 1-0
Hammarby
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Halmstad vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.79
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
7.71
X/2
13%
4.36
X/X
12%
4.65
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.61
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · X/1 at 7.71 — our 14% vs market 9.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Halmstad v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.00/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.41
-10% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 80%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
14.5 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Halmstad vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
343 Passes 400
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
04.06.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
28.11.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
04.07.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
05.11.2017 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
14.05.2017 Halmstad Halmstad 1-2 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ

Halmstad 2-1 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
2-1
AWAY Hammarby
1.40 xG 1.19
26% Ball Possession 74%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
141 Passes 590
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad edged past Hammarby 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Halmstad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Halmstad had 26% of the ball to Hammarby's 74%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.40 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halmstad and 1.00 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Hammarby?

Halmstad 2-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 35%, draw 25%, Hammarby 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
25 Apr 2024
20:00 Djurgarden vs Malmö FF Analysis →
20:00 Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby Analysis →
20:00 Norrköping vs Elfsborg Analysis →
20:00 Kalmar vs GAIS Analysis →