Kalmar 2-3 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Apr 2024

Kalmar
2-3 HT 1-1
GAIS
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.25
X/1
20%
4.72
X/2
12%
6.51
X/X
9%
4.18
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.47
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.2 Crosses 21.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY GAIS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
02.09.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
04.05.2012 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 2-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
14.08.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
23.06.2011 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
18.09.2010 Kalmar Kalmar 3-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
25.04.2010 GAIS GAIS 2-2 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
2-3
AWAY GAIS
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS squeezed past Kalmar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kalmar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kalmar had 55% of the ball to GAIS's 45%, shots finished 12-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kalmar and 1.33 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs GAIS?

Kalmar 2-3 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 44%, draw 26%, GAIS 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5
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