Real Oviedo 3-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.98
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.84
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
20.8
X/1
20%
3.55
X/2
5%
14.65
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
7%
14.85
2/X
9%
24.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.43/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.49
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
24.0 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.72 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 251
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-5 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
20.01.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-3 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
20.08.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
20.04.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS3
23.02.2003 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.09.2002 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-2 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
3-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.60 xG 0.51
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
472 Passes 202
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo ran out comfortable winners over Racing Ferrol 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 67% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 33%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.00 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Racing Ferrol?

Real Oviedo 3-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 53%, draw 30%, Racing Ferrol 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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