Racing Ferrol 1-5 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Dec 2024

Racing Ferrol
1-5 HT 0-1
Real Oviedo
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
13%
7.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.49
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.7
X/1
14%
7.13
X/2
16%
4.81
X/X
19%
3.5
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
3.76
2/X
6%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.09
+31% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.5 Crosses 24.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-3 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
20.08.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
20.04.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS3
23.02.2003 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.09.2002 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-2 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
09.02.2002 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-5 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-5
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.08 xG 6.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 5
262 Passes 232
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 42
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo swept aside Racing Ferrol 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Oviedo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 52% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 48%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 1.08 to 6.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.50 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo?

Racing Ferrol 1-5 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 36%, draw 32%, Real Oviedo 32%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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