Burgos vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Eldense — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Eldense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İSPK
Burgos 1-0 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Eldense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 52% of the ball to Eldense's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eldense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Burgos and 1.67 for Eldense.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Eldense?
Burgos 1-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Eldense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgos 41%, draw 32%, Eldense 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.