Arenas de Getxo 4-1 Izarra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.7pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Izarra EU Bookmakers 8%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.92/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.00
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Izarra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Izarra Izarra 1-1 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
31.03.2024 Izarra Izarra 2-0 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
19.11.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-1 Izarra Izarra İS4
05.03.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 3-1 HT 0-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
16.10.2022 Izarra Izarra 1-2 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
20.03.2022 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-1 HT 0-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
4-1
AWAY Izarra
55% Ball Possession 45%
26 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo ran out comfortable winners over Izarra 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 55% of the ball to Izarra's 45%, shots finished 26-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 1.33 for Izarra.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Izarra?

Arenas de Getxo 4-1 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Izarra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 62%, draw 22%, Izarra 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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